After crumpling over a million papers, the picks have been made and the brackets are all filled!
The NCAA Tournament kicks off today with a game between #4 Michigan State and #14 Valpo. Many “experts” on filling out brackets have said there is no easy road to the Final Four. This could prove to be true, but why not let the facts speak for themselves.
With just a few hours before tip off, here are some odds and facts when it comes to “double-checking” your tournament bracket.
Top 5 Odds to Win NCAA Title:
1) Louisville 5/1
2) Indiana 8/1
3) Miami (FL) 8/1
T-4) Duke 10/1
T-4) Florida 10/1
T-4) Kansas 10/1
5) Gonzaga 12/1
Perfect Bracket Odds:
There are 9,223,372,036,854,775,808 possible brackets (9.2 quintillion).
Interesting Facts About Picking Brackets:
- If everyone on the planet each randomly filled out a bracket, the odds would be over ONE BILLION to 1 against any person having a perfect bracket.
- If one bracket per second was filled out, it would take 292 BILLION years to fill out all possible brackets (that’s 20 times longer than the universe has existed).
- If all the people on earth filled out one bracket per second, it would take over 43 years to fill out every possible bracket.
- If all possible brackets were stacked on top of each other (on standard paper), the pile would reach from the moon and back over 1.1 million times.
- All possible brackets (on standard paper) would weigh 90,000 times more than every man, women, and child on earth combined.
- Even if a person had a 90% chance of winning each game he picked, his odds would still be 763 to 1 against picking a perfect bracket.
- #16 seeds are 0 for 112
#15 seeds are 6 for 112
- At least one Top 4 seed has lost in the first round 24 of 28 years
- #13 and #14 seeds combined win 18% of first round games
- #12 seeds have won at least one game 22 of 24 years
- #9 seeds are 4 wins above .500 vs. #8 seeds
Interesting Facts About the Second Round:
- 88% of #1 seeds advance to the Sweet 16
- #10 and #12 seeds combined win about half the time in Round Two
- #12 seeds have the same number of Sweet 16 appearances overall than #7 seeds
- A double digit seed has made the Sweet Sixteen 26 of 28 years
- Only once in 28 years has all the top three seeds (#1, #2, #3) made the Sweet Sixteen
- Only 7 of 448 teams (1.6%) advancing past Round 2 were seeded worse than #12
Interesting Facts About the Sweet 16:
- 72% of #1 seeds make the Elite 8
- 26 #11 seeds have made it the Sweet 16, but only 1 has ever advanced
Interesting Fact About the Elite Eight:
- Only 3 of 112 teams to advance to the Final Four teams have been seeded worse than #8
Interesting Fact About the Final Four:
- The Final Four has included exactly one or two #1 seeds 22 of 28 years
Interesting Fact About the Championship Game:
- Only ONE team worse than #6 has made it in last 27 years
- Since tournament seeding began 34 years ago (1979) only 6 times have two #1 seeds made the finals
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