NCAA Basketball Bubble Watch - February 26th, 2013

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Most Likely Out

1) Baylor Bears (16-11, 7-7, 6th Big 12)

Feb 20, 2013; Waco, TX, USA; Baylor Bears guard Brady Heslip (5) and forward Cory Jefferson (34) react after the loss against the Iowa State Cyclones at the Ferrell Center. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

I’ll be honest. At the beginning of the season, I thought Baylor would compete with the Kansas Jayhawks for the Big 12 regular season crown. The Bears are 2-7 against the RPI top 50 and only 8-11 against the top 200. They have lost three straight to Kansas State, Iowa State, and Oklahoma. Baylor is also 2-6 in their last eight games. Their chances of making the tournament might be slim, but their window is still open.

They still have games against Kansas State and Kansas and if Baylor can get it together for those games then they might be able to limp into this year’s tournament.

2) Alabama Crimson Tide (18-9, 10-4, 2nd SEC )

The Alabama Crimson Tide have some bad losses this year against teams they should have beaten. These losses came against VCU, Mercer, Dayton, and Tulane. They have won games against some teams who are on the bubble, but no one higher than that. They haven’t even played a game against a Top 25 team this season. The Crimson Tide are a great home team, but that doesn’t get you off the bubble.

Good thing for Alabama is that they will have chances to boost their tournament resume with road games against Florida and Ole Miss.

3) Iowa State Cyclones (19-9, 9-6, 5th Big 12)

Feb 20, 2013; Waco, TX, USA; Iowa State Cyclones guard Korie Lucious (13) celebrates with guard Tyrus McGee (25) during the second half against the Baylor Bears at the Ferrell Center. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

After their “debatable” home loss to the Kansas Jayhawks, the Iowa State Cyclones find themselves on the outside looking into this year’s tournament. Iowa State is 14-2 against teams outside the Top 100 and 5-7 against teams in the Top 100. Every one of their last four losses were heart beakers. These losses were against Kansas State (road), Oklahoma State (road), Texas (road), and Kansas (home). This home game hero will need to win on the road it wants to taste some Madness this year.

The Cyclones will finish the season with two road games (Oklahoma and West Virginia) and one home game (Oklahoma State). They can survive losing another home game, but cannot lose another road game if they want to make the tournament this year.

4) Creighton Bluejays (22-7, 11-5, 2nd MVC )

The Creighton Bluejays looked like a team that could be a bracket buster this season, but that is not the case at this point in time. Doug McDermott has been their best player and is one of the best players in the entire nation. However, the Bluejays are 2-4 in their last six conference games. However, this team did beat the Wisconsin Badgers and the California Golden Bears earlier this season.

Although, Creighton NEEDS to win the conference in they want to be playing basketball this March. If Creighton does not win the Missouri Valley, they will most likely miss the tournament.

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